Barack Obama will win the presidency
By STEVEN R. HURST
Sat., July. 5, 2008
WASHINGTON - U.S. presidential candidates historically steer to the political middle once nominated, but Democrat Barack Obama's unabashed appeal to centrist American voters has further opened the door to Republican claims his message of change only applies to the positions he has taken in the past.
If a candidate has strong appeal to centrist America, you probably didn't think that appeal was a consequence of centrist characteristics exhibited other than found shallowly in a voting record. The voter exercises more than intuition about the substance of Obama. We have seen him to be sympathetic to our interests.
So Mr. Hurst, because he has documented many positions quite clearly, you can predict other positions he should hold. You predict they will always fall to the left of his stated positions. This must be because you have Obama pegged as an "ultraliberal Democrat", when in fact the centrists among us, even the Republicans among us who support him truly know him.
Perhaps most damaging was Thursday's statement in North Dakota, where he said he would reassess his stand on the Iraq war after he visits the front later this summer for briefings from American military commanders. Republicans tried to play that as an expedient political flip flop — a signal Obama was moving away from his vow to withdraw all combat troops within 16 months of taking office, a defining issue of his campaign.
It has been the Republicans who have made the case that the Democrats were now dangerously out of touch with the surge now being so "successful". Conventional Republican wisdom requires Obama not to reassess his position given that change, yet they say the couragous position is to acknowledge its success and to reassess. Well, few of us believe Obama reassessed to become more "centrist" = more populous. No, he is in constant evaluation because that is what the unbound candidate can effectively do.
A spokesman for the Republic party commented, "Obama's Iraq problem undermines the central premise of his candidacy and shows him to be a typical politician."
Obama's position has always been to remove ourselves from Iraq with consideration for its perils. Nevertheless, Obama's position remains the same. We will not remain there for the next hundred years , nor 25, nor 5 in all likelihood.
Obama has spoken out for the death penalty and against strict gun control. He's backed new rules allowing government eavesdropping on terrorism suspects and called for giving more government money to religious groups that tackle social ills.
Let me guess...you believe this upstart Democrat should never support the death penalty, always support gun control, not support legislation against terrorism, and sustain an antagonistic relationship with religious groups.
"The most important thing in politics is your brand," says Matthew Dowd, a former Bush strategist. "Obama's brand is that he will be a different kind of politician. It's a brand he's built up over that past year and a half. But he's dented that brand in recent days."
Mr. Dowd, the politics of the status quo has been the eternally hopeful politics of Bush McCain of full speed ahead, take on the world. The new change happens to be what you are complaining about in Obama. Real change with Obama becomes authentic because one moves better when one is nimble in response to analysis.